Joyce N. Boghosian
Conflicts

Confusion in Washington as US, Iran head to high‑stakes Islamabad talks

Mixed signals from Trump team as Iran arrives united for Islamabad negotiations

Jummah

The diplomatic calendar remains unsettled as the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran prepare for a second round of high‑stakes negotiations in Islamabad. President Donald Trump confirmed on Sunday that American representatives would travel to the Pakistani capital for talks aimed at resolving the Middle East crisis. However, within hours, a contradictory picture emerged regarding who would lead the US delegation. Trump initially told ABC News that Vice President JD Vance would not attend due to “logistical” and security concerns raised by the Secret Service on such short notice. Yet later the same day, multiple media outlets, including ABC News, Axios and Energy Secretary Chris Wright reported that Vance would, in fact, lead the American team, joined by special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Meetings are scheduled for Tuesday and may extend into Wednesday. Tehran, by contrast, has shown no such confusion. Iran’s negotiating team is expected to be led once again by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, a veteran of the previous round.

Trump’s Accusations

Ahead of the talks, Trump used his Truth Social platform to levy a series of accusations against Iran, alleging that Iranian forces had fired shots at a French vessel and a British freighter in the Strait of Hormuz, thereby violating the fragile two‑week ceasefire. He also claimed that Iran had announced the closure of the strait, a move he called “strange” given that a US‑led blockade had already rendered the waterway impassable. “They’re helping us without knowing, and they are the ones that lose with the closed passage, $500 million a day. The United States loses nothing,” Trump wrote. He went on to warn that if Tehran did not accept what he described as a “very fair and reasonable deal,” the United States would “knock out every single power plant, and every single bridge, in Iran.”

Vance’s Role

The mixed messaging from Washington over Vance’s participation is more than a logistical hiccup. It shows a deeper uncertainty within the Trump administration as it navigates a conflict that has already lasted seven weeks, cost thousands of lives and sent global energy prices soaring. Trump’s initial claim that Vance would not attend, followed by contradictory reports from senior officials suggests a lack of coordination. By contrast, Iran’s delegation is expected to arrive in Islamabad with a clear mandate. Ghalibaf, who led the first round of negotiations, has already briefed the nation on the progress made and the gaps that remain. In a televised address on Saturday night, he stated that while some advances had been achieved, “we are still far from the final discussion.” He reiterated Iran’s full control over the Strait of Hormuz and rejected any US interference in the waterway, insisting that any truce must also apply to Hezbollah in Lebanon.

The Nuclear Impasse

At the heart of the impasse lies the nuclear issue. During the first round of Islamabad talks, the United States proposed a 20‑year suspension of all Iranian nuclear activity, a demand Tehran has consistently rejected as excessive and contrary to its rights under the Nuclear Non‑Proliferation Treaty. Iran, in turn, suggested a much shorter halt of three to five years, with full recognition of its right to peaceful enrichment. Neither side has yet shown willingness to bridge this gap. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Saeed Khatibzadeh has confirmed that no date has been set for the next round of negotiations, adding that a “framework of understanding” must first be agreed upon.

A Region on Edge

As the clock ticks down on the two‑week ceasefire, set to expire on Wednesday, regional tensions remain high. Israel has continued its strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon, with an Israeli soldier killed and nine others wounded on Sunday alone. Turkey, a key regional mediator, has expressed optimism that the ceasefire will be extended, with Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan stating, “No one wants to see a new war break out.”

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